[Dragaera] Is Kelly foolish?

[Louis Eastman]

So, Kelly's plan is to unify Easterners and Teckla against pretty much
everyone else. He definitely has the advantage of numbers...but he speaks of
forcing the Imperium to do things, while also speaking encouraging armed
resistance like the shutdown of South Adrilinkha. What I don't understand is
how he expects to win.

For one thing, he assumes the vast majority of the populace will willing
join him, which seems...optimistic. And ultimately it doesn't seem like he
has an answer to the fact that the Empire, which has only one ranged weapon
commonly available for the regular footsoldier, has a monopoly on sorcery,
in addition to the fact that they face Pre-Empire sorcery AND the Orb. So
while Kelly has the masses, the Empire has the equivalents of artillery/gun
emplacements which negate that.

This makes me wonder exactly what his long term plans are. Does he expect
the some of the nobility will join him? Or that he can outfight sorcery with
witchcraft? That the Teckla/Easterners won't break after a few massive
defeats?